Archive · Wed Oct 28 · Plain text · Event page
Ford Narrows 2026 Profit Outlook, Sees 2027 Roughly Flat Amid $2 Billion in Cost Headwinds
Executives said commodity, memory and logistics costs will weigh on next year even as Ford expands trucks, the Fathom EV and its battery-storage business.
Ford Motor Co. narrowed its 2026 adjusted EBIT forecast to between $10.5 billion and $11 billion and said it is "targeting profitability next year to be roughly in line with this year," as the automaker expects about $2 billion in commodity, memory and logistics cost pressure in 2027, executives said on the company's third-quarter earnings call.
Third quarter and 2026 outlook
CFO Sherry House said third-quarter adjusted EBIT rose 3% despite 2% lower revenue, with revenue of $49.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $2.7 billion. Ford generated $4.7 billion in adjusted free cash flow and ended the quarter with $25.3 billion in cash and $46.4 billion in total liquidity. The company declared a regular fourth-quarter dividend of 15 cents per share.
For the full year, Ford left adjusted free cash flow guidance at $6 billion to $7 billion and capital expenditures at $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion. It expects Ford Blue EBIT of about $5.5 billion, Ford Pro EBIT of about $7 billion, Model e losses of about $4 billion and Ford Credit pre-tax profit of about $2.8 billion. Commodity headwinds are now approaching $2.5 billion year over year, an increase of about $500 million. The guidance excludes the potential impact of "a significant escalation in the Middle East or a material downturn in the us economy," House said.
Ford Blue's third-quarter EBIT was $1.4 billion, down 10%, on lower volume tied to discontinued products, the Middle East conflict and higher commodity costs. Ford Pro EBIT was $1.7 billion, down 16%, which the company attributed to higher commodities and temporary costs tied to the Oakville plant launch. Model e posted a $1.1 billion EBIT loss on $1.2 billion in revenue.
2027 plans and Model e
CEO Jim Farley said 2027 will be "a foundational year" toward the company's target of 8% adjusted EBIT by 2029, with 70% of its global vehicle portfolio by volume refreshed. He said planned production downtime for the new F-150 will be largely offset by added Super Duty capacity at Oakville. Farley said Ford expects to offset the roughly $2 billion headwind through industrial-system improvements, revenue optimization and company-wide cost efficiency.
House said Model e expenses will be higher in 2027 as investments continue, with the "next step function change in profitability" expected in the first half of 2028 as the Universal EV platform and Ford Energy ramp. Ford still targets Model e breakeven by 2029.
Fathom launch and Ford Energy
Executives said 90% of validation testing for the Fathom has been completed and first production-line vehicles have been built at the Louisville plant. Ford has produced 5,000 of the large unicastings central to the vehicle, and the remaining risk is mainly in the supply base. A pre-order program will launch in the first quarter. Executive Andrew Frick said the Fathom's starting price is $28,350 and the range will extend to the high $30,000s.
On Ford Energy, Farley said executed contracts and late-stage negotiations account for more than 80% of 2028 capacity, which Ford expects to be fully committed by the first quarter of next year. The company remains on track to bring 20 gigawatt-hours of annual capacity online at its Kentucky plant by the end of next year. An executive said Ford will spend about a third of roughly $2 billion in investment this year and about two-thirds next year, and that it will begin disclosing backlog next year.
Europe, China and Geely
Asked about Chinese competition, Farley said the main pressure on Ford is in Europe, citing EU electric-vehicle mandates and long-standing overcapacity along with Chinese exports. He said partnerships with Renault and Geely are low-capital routes to more profitable EVs there.
On Geely, an executive said the partner can offer parts at a lower landed cost in Europe and develop vehicles months faster, and that Ford is institutionalizing those lessons in its global product development system. Farley said Ford is the number one traditional automaker exporting from China.
Bulletins
FORD CEO FARLEY: Q3 ADJUSTED EBIT $2.7 BILLION
FORD RAISES LOW END OF FY ADJUSTED EBIT GUIDANCE, NOW SEES $10.5 BILLION-$11 BILLION
FORD CEO: TARGETS 8% ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN BY 2029
FORD CEO: ON TRACK TO CUT ANOTHER $1 BILLION IN WARRANTY AND MATERIAL COSTS THIS YEAR
FORD: OAKVILLE SUPER DUTY RAMP EXCEEDING PLANNED VOLUME, SHIPPING TRUCKS TO DEALERS
FORD: FATHOM EV LAUNCH ON TRACK FOR Q4 NEXT YEAR, MSRP UNDER $30,000
FORD: SOFTWARE SERVICES AND PARTS BUSINESSES BOTH HIT RECORD REVENUE IN Q3
FORD: SOFTWARE SUBSCRIPTION PLUS REGULAR SERVICE LIFTS PARTS RETENTION ABOUT NINE POINTS
FORD: SEES PRO DIGITAL FLEET MANAGEMENT PORTFOLIO OVER 100,000 UNITS BY YEAR END
FORD: LAUNCHED FORD PRO LEASING IN Q3, ADDING COMMERCIAL LEASING TO FLEET OFFERINGS
FORD ENERGY: KENTUCKY PLANT ON TRACK FOR 20 GWH ANNUAL CAPACITY ONLINE BY END OF NEXT YEAR
FORD ENERGY: CONTRACTS, LATE-STAGE TALKS >80% OF 2028 CAPACITY; EXPECTS FULL COMMITMENT BY Q1
FORD CFO: Q3 REVENUE $49.5 BILLION, ADJUSTED EBIT $2.7 BILLION, BOTH HIGHER SEQUENTIALLY
FORD CFO: Q3 ADJ FREE CASH FLOW $4.7 BILLION; CASH $25.3 BILLION, LIQUIDITY $46.4 BILLION
FORD CFO: Q4 REGULAR DIVIDEND OF 15 CENTS PER SHARE
FORD CFO: FORD BLUE Q3 REVENUE $27.1 BILLION, EBIT $1.4 BILLION, DOWN 3% AND 10%
FORD CFO: NOVELIS COSTS ABOUT $1 BILLION YTD; STILL SEES NET TAILWIND ABOUT $1 BILLION IN 2026
FORD CFO: MODEL E Q3 EBIT LOSS $1.1 BILLION ON REVENUE $1.2 BILLION; EBIT IMPROVED 25% YOY
FORD CFO: FORD PRO Q3 REVENUE $17.8 BILLION, UP 2%; EBIT $1.7 BILLION, DOWN 16%
FORD CFO: FORD CREDIT Q3 EBT $803 MILLION, UP $172 MILLION
FORD CFO: MACH-E TARGETING BREAKEVEN BY 2029; Q3 HAD LOWEST INCENTIVE SPEND SINCE 2023
FORD CFO: FY SEGMENT EBIT: BLUE ~$5.5B, PRO ~$7B, MODEL E LOSS ~$4B, CREDIT EBT ~$2.8B
FORD CEO: TARGETING 2027 PROFITABILITY ROUGHLY IN LINE WITH 2026
FORD CEO: 2027 COMMODITIES, MEMORY, LOGISTICS COSTS SEEN ABOUT $2 BILLION YOY HEADWIND
FORD: TARGETS 8% ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN BY 2029; MODEL E TURNAROUND BY 2029
FORD: SEES FORD ENERGY 20 GWH CAPACITY ONLINE, KEY TO MODEL E TURNAROUND BY 2029
FORD CFO: SOFTWARE AND PARTS GROWTH NOW ABOUT 10% OF REVENUES AT ACCRETIVE GROWTH MARGINS
FORD: UEV LAUNCH PROGRESSING VERY WELL; 90% OF VALIDATION TESTING COMPLETED
FORD: FIRST UEV PRODUCTION LINE VEHICLES BUILT AT LOUISVILLE; 5,000 UNICASTINGS PRODUCED
FORD: SEES US EV PRICES UP ABOUT 10%, PRICING MANY NEW VEHICLES OUT OF AFFORDABLE MARKET
FORD: UEV STARTING MSRP $28,350; OVER HALF OF US EVS SOLD UNDER $40,000 ARE USED
FORD: UEV PRE-ORDER PROGRAM TO LAUNCH IN FIRST QUARTER
FORD CFO: MODEL E BREAKEVEN TARGET BY 2029; EXPECTS HIGHER MODEL E EXPENSES IN 2027
FORD CFO: SEES NEXT STEP CHANGE IN PROFITABILITY IN FIRST HALF 2028 AS UEV, FORD ENERGY RAMP
FORD: F-150 STOCK AT 49 DAYS COMING OUT OF SEPTEMBER, BELOW TARGET RANGE
FORD: F-150 STOCK TARGET 50-60 DAY SUPPLY, EXPECTS TO BE IN RANGE BY YEAR END
FORD: NOVELIS ALUMINUM PLANT RECOVERY GOING AS PLANNED, NOW RUNNING AT RATE
FORD: NOVELIS RECOVERY KEEPS $1 BILLION NET TAILWIND GUIDE BY END OF 2026; COSTS, VOLUMES LOWER
FORD ENERGY: WON'T DISCLOSE BACKLOG TODAY, PLANS TO START DISCLOSING NEXT YEAR
FORD: SAYS IT IS NUMBER ONE TRADITIONAL OEM EXPORTING FROM CHINA
FORD: TERRITORY IS SECOND MOST PROFITABLE VEHICLE GLOBALLY; CHINA EXPORTS UP ABOUT 60%
FORD: UEV STARTING PRICE $28,150; SAYS WILL OFFER OPTIONS BEYOND $28,000 FOR CUSTOMERS
FORD: UEV PRICING RANGE TO GO TO HIGH $30,000S; STARTS AT $28,150
FORD: UEV GETS 48-VOLT ARCHITECTURE; EMBEDDED APPLE MAPS, SEES LONG-TERM SUBSCRIPTION UPSELL
FORD: SEES RETAIL PRICING UP ABOUT ONE PERCENTAGE POINT THIS YEAR, 'VERY STRONG' ENVIRONMENT
FORD: FLEET PRICING UP OVER ONE PERCENT YEAR OVER YEAR; 2027 MODEL YEAR FLEET ORDERS ON TARGET
FORD: ENERGY INITIAL 20 GWH TO BE ONLINE, RAMPED IN 2028; EVALUATING EXPANSION SCENARIOS
FORD CFO: ENERGY INVESTMENT ABOUT $2 BLN, ABOUT A THIRD THIS YEAR, ABOUT TWO THIRDS NEXT YEAR
FORD: SAYS 5,000 UEV UNITS ALREADY BUILT; TWO LARGE UNIT CASTINGS CUT PART COUNT, LABOR CONTENT
FORD: SAYS UEV MOTORS, GEARBOX, INVERTERS ABOUT 30% MORE EFFICIENT THAN BYD'S
Posts (41)
Transcript
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Good day, everyone. My name is Ronnie and I will be your conference operator today.
good day everyone
my name is ronnie and i will be your conference operator today
At this time, I would like to welcome you to the Ford Motor Company third quarter 2026 earnings conference call.
at this time i would like to welcome you to the ford motor company third quarter
conference call. All lines have been placed on you to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be.
twenty twenty six earnings conference call
all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise
a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please use the raised hand function, which can be
after the speakers' remarks there will be a question and answer session
found on the black bar at the bottom of your screen. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Maria Richards.
if you would like to ask a question during this time please use the raise hand function which can be found on the black
bar at the bottom of your screen
Richardone, deep investment relations officer. Thank you, Rani, and welcome to you for.
at this time i would like to turn the call over to maria richardone
chief investment relations officer
Motor Company's third quarter 2026 earnings call. I'm Maria Richard On Ford.
thank you ronnie and welcome to
ford motor company's third quarter twenty twenty six earnings call
investor relations officer. With me today are Jim Farley, president and CEO, and Sherry House.
i'm maria richardone ford's chief investor relations officer
CFO. Joining us for QA are Andrew Frick, president of Ford Blue, and model.
with me today are jim farley president and ceo and sherry house cfo
E. Alicia Buller Davis, president of Ford Pro. Kumar Gahultra, chief operating office.
joining us for q and a are andrew frick
president of ford blue and model e
alicia bohler davis president of ford pro kumar gahultra
officer, Cappy O'Callahan, CEO of Ford Credit, and Dave Carroll, president of Ford Energy.
chief operating officer
kathy o'callaghan ceo of ford credit and dave carroll
Energy. Jim will give a high-level overview of the business, and Sherry will provide added texture on the financials.
president of ford energy
jim will give a high level overview of the business
and guidance. We will be referencing non-gap measures today. These are reconciled to the most comparable U.S. gap.
and sherry will provide added texture on the financials and guidance
we will be referencing non gaap measures today these are reconciled to the most comparable u s
measures and the appendix of our earnings deck. You can find the deck at shareholder.ford.com.
gaap measures in the appendix of our earnings deck you can find the deck at shareholder
ford dot com
discussion also includes forward-looking statements. Our actual results may differ. The most significant
our discussion also includes forward looking statements
risk factors are included on page 20 of our deck. Unless otherwise noted, all comparisons are year over year.
our actual results may differ the most significant risk factors are included on page
twenty of our deck
Company EBIT, EPS, and Free Cash Flow are on an adjusted basis. Upcoming night.
unless otherwise noted all comparisons are year over year
company ebit eps and free cash flow are on an adjusted basis
IR engagements include Sherry House at the Berkeley's Global Auto and Mobility tech conference in New York.
upcoming ir engagements include sherry house at
on November 18th. Now I'll turn the call over to Jim. Hey, Samaria, we're delivered in another strong.
the barclays global auto and mobility tech conference
in new york on november eighteenth now i'll turn the call over to jim
thanks maria
quarter thanks to our great products, our services, and execution. I want to thank.
ford delivered another strong quarter thanks to our great products
our employees and our dealers, all of our suppliers, for this progress.
our services and execution i want to thank our employees
and our dealers
all of our suppliers
and for their commitment to Ford Plus. In the third car quarter, as you know, we generated 2.7.
for this progress and for their commitment to ford plus
2.7 billion dollars in adjusted eBay. We're raising our low end of our previous four year adjustment.
in the third quarter as you know we generated
two point seven billion dollars in adjusted ebit
adjusted EBIT guidance. And now we specify 10.5 billion and 11 billion dollars.
we're raising our low end of our previous full year adjusted ebit guidance
dollars. Our strategy is clear. Number one, grow our auto business with a whole new generation.
and now expect to earn between ten point five billion dollars and eleven billion dollars
our strategy is clear number one grow our auto business
generation of vehicles focused on North America, focused on transforming our ED business, and global price.
with a whole new generation of vehicles focused on north america
focused on transforming our ev business
products with much less capital. Number two, aggressively expand our auto adjacencies.
and global products with much less capital
Software, services, and parts. Well, strengthening our finance and capability.
number two aggressively expand our auto adjacencies
software services and parts
capability. And third, diversifying with Ford Energy. The objective.
while strengthening our financing capability and third
diversifying with ford energy
the objective
is a more profitable, capital efficient, and resilient forward, one that achieves 8% of justice.
is a more profitable capital efficient and resilient ford
EBIT margins by 2029. And deliver sustained earnings, cash flow, and return.
one that achieves eight percent adjusted ebit margins by twenty twenty nine
returns to our shareholders over time. Let's start with our vehicles. In the third quarter,
and deliver sustained earnings cash flow and returns
to our shareholders over time
let's start with our vehicles
quarter, we continue to focus on a portfolio that leads into our strengths. Trucks, vans, you need.
in the third quarter we continue to focus on a portfolio that leans into our
strengths
and utilities. Our pickup lineup gives customers an unmatched breath of choice because.
trucks vans and utilities
our pickup lineup gives customers an unmatched breadth
between vehicles, prices, trims, and power trains. In Q3, F series.
of choice between vehicles
prices
trims and powertrains
captured the highest retail share among all full-size truck brands and is on pace for the
in q3 f series captured the highest retail share
50th straight year as America's best-selling truck. Maverick is a Merica's.
among all full size truck brands and is on pace for the
fiftieth straight year as america's best selling truck
America's best-selling hybrid pickup. Internationally, Ranger leads in many markets, including Australia.
maverick is america's best selling hybrid pickup
Australia and Europe. Early demand for the Ranger Superduty is very strong.
internationally ranger leads in many markets including australia and europe
Already, number one, the heavy duty medium-sized truck market in Australia in his first year.
early demand for the ranger super duty is very strong
already number one heavy duty medium sized truck market in
year, opening a very profitable opportunity for us. Transit.
australia in its first year
opening a very profitable opportunity
for us
continues to be the best-selling band in the US, for it also leads in three-row SU.
transit continues to be the best selling van in the us
SUVs in the U.S. with the expedition and explorer. We're also expanding.
ford also leads in three row suvs in the us
with the expedition and explorer
expanding access to customers through Ford Blue Oval Advantage. Our certificate.
we're also expanding access to customers
through ford blue oval advantage
certified pre-owned program, making Ford now the number one certified pre-owned brand in.
our certified pre owned program making ford now
in the US. This program builds customer loyalty and positions forward for our.
the number one certified pre owned brand in the u s
this program builds customer loyalty and positions ford
our affordable new vehicles that will be coming in the next couple of years to our showrooms. And it really helps.
for our affordable new vehicles that will be coming in the next
helps our resale values. In fact, we found that these used customers are 50%.
couple years to our showrooms and it really helps our resale values
more likely than typical used car buyers to purchase a new Ford.
in fact we found that these used customers
are fifty percent more likely
than typical used car buyers to purchase a new ford
foundation of our sustained growth is world-class quality. Of course, topping the GDP.
the foundation of our sustained growth
is world class quality
JD Powers 2026 IQS study and reduction we've seen in warmth.
of course topping the j d powers
twenty twenty six iqs study
warranty coverages is encouraging to all of us. Excluding novellas and tariffs, we
and reduction we've seen in warranty coverages
is encouraging to all of us
excluding novelis and tariffs
reduce warranty and material costs by $1.5 billion in 25.
we reduced warranty and material costs by one point five billion dollars in twenty
five
on track to reduce another one billion this year. But we have much more to do.
and are on track to reduce another one billion dollars this year
but we have much more to do
especially on long-term durability and the ownership experience.
especially on long term durability
and the ownership experience
We are accelerating our industrial system, including very aggressive next-generation vehicle.
we are accelerating our industrial system
vehicle cost reduction targets. The goal is a world-class industrial system, one that makes.
including very aggressive next generation vehicle
cost reduction targets the goal is a world class industrial system
makes cost competitiveness and quality repeatable. Our Super Dude launched in the Oak.
one that makes cost competitiveness and quality repeatable
Oakville, Ontario is an important example of this discipline. The production ramp is already
our super duty launch in oakville ontario
is an important example of this discipline
already exceeding planned daily volume and jobs per hour rates.
the production ramp is already exceeding
planned daily volume and jobs per hour rates
reached okay to buy last week and began shipping trucks to dealerships. And the quality was
we reached okay to buy last week and began shipping trucks to dealerships
we're seeing is fully competitive with our existing super duty plan, which is number one at J.D. Powers.
and the quality we're seeing is fully competitive with our existing super duty plan
which is number one in jd powers
The added capacity will give us flexibility for future plant changeovers and support.
the added capacity will give us flexibility for future plant changeovers
profitable growth in retail, rental, and upfitter channels. We're bringing the same
and support profitable growth in retail rental and outfitter channels
discipline to the next generation at 150. Prototypes begin builds on.
we're bringing the same discipline to the next generation
f-one hundred fifty
prototypes begin
our beginning in first quarter of 27, just a couple months away. We have an incredible power train durability.
builds are beginning in first quarter twenty twenty seven just a couple of months away
testing, which is now five-fold increase to meet our bullet-proof power train target.
we have an incredible powertrain durability testing
which is now fivefold increase to meet our bulletproof powertrain
at Ford. We're doubling endurance and strength testing and increasing full.
target at ford we're doubling endurance and strength testing
full vehicle test mileage by nearly 60% to almost four million miles.
and increasing full vehicle test mileage
by nearly sixty percent
The F-150 will be the most extensively tested truck ever forward, and we will apply.
to almost four million miles the f-one hundred fifty will be the most
extensively tested truck
apply this exact same approach across our company. Alongside strength in
ever at ford and we will apply this exact same approach
across our company
strengthening our best franchises, we're opening new paths to grow at more affordable price points.
alongside strengthening our best franchises
points. Next year, we will be launching our affordable mid-size pickup for international.
we're opening new paths to grow at more affordable price points
next year we will be launching our affordable midsize pickup
markets. We expect the base material cost for this truck to be 20% lower than today.
for international markets
we expect the base material cost for this truck to be twenty
today's ranger. Just as Maverick is done in the US, this truck is designed to bring new customers.
lower than today's ranger just as maverick has done in the u s
customers into the Ford truck lineup internationally, at a cost structure that allows us to compete.
this truck is designed to bring new customers into the ford truck lineup
compete, in this case, with the Chinese. And at Louisville, we are preparing a launch of the
internationally at a cost structure that allows us to compete in this case
with the chinese
and in louisville
Fab, our first vehicle off the UED platform. Rigorous testing and early supply or preparation.
we are preparing the launch of the fathom our first vehicle off the uev platform
preparation are central to that effort. The launch remains on track for the fourth quarter next year.
rigorous testing and early supplier preparation are central to that effort
the launch remains on track for fourth quarter next year
Yesterday I had the opportunity to drive our prototype. Wow, it completely
yet yesterday i had the opportunity to drive our prototype
wow
blew me away. There's zero to sixty, huge Roman side, and the hands for.
it completely blew me away zero to sixty
huge room inside
hands-free eight ass experience was like something I've never experienced. Fathom is really a
and the hands free
adas experience was like something i've never experienced
breakthrough product. It's highly capable, innovative, affordable.
fandom is really a breakthrough product it's highly capable
innovative
affordable
and that EV product will be available to more Americans way ahead of our competition.
and that ev product
This will require high-level execution by our team to deliver on time and at cost.
will be available to more americans way ahead of our competition
this will require high level execution by our team to deliver on time and at cost
And the MSRP, under $30,000, and the low cost of ownership, is perfect for today.
in the msrp under thirty thousand dollars and the low cost of ownership
today's market. Fathom will offer something brand new for US EV customers.
is perfect for today's market
fathom will offer something
brand new for u s ev customers
And advanced zonal electric architecture for its first 48-bolt.
an advanced
zonal electrical architecture
48-bolt low-voltage system, along with the sophisticated advanced driver capability.
for its first forty eight volt low voltage system
as hand speed driving. In a credible real-wheel drive performance feel, and a lot.
along with a sophisticated advanced driver assist capability
such as hands free driving
lot of fun to drive. And bidirectional charging, so you can power your home with the fathom.
an incredible rear wheel drive performance feel
and a lot of fun to drive
rates are high or during an outage. And there's so much more to this product that we're excited to share.
and bidirectional charging so you can power your home with the fathom
when rates are high
or during an outage
and there's so much more to this product that we're exciting
share with you. Twitching gears to our growing auto services business, software services.
to share with you switching gears to our growing auto services business
parts, and financing. Now, these auto-adjacencies deepen our customer's relationship with us.
software services parts and financing
with us and create downstream value by enabling us to earn more over the
now these auto adjacencies deepen our customers' relationship with us
and create downstream value
the life of each vehicle. Both software services and parts businesses achieve.
by enabling us to earn more over the life of each vehicle
both software services and parts businesses
achieved record revenue in the third quarter at highly accretive margins.
achieved record
revenue in the third quarter and highly accretive margins
An important link exists here between software and parts. Connected services.
an important linkage exists here between software and parts
services help us anticipate maintenance over time, including a whole new software product.
connected services help us anticipate maintenance over time
product called Prognostics at Ford, bringing customers to our remote service bands, almost 5,000.
including a whole new software product called prognostics at ford
5,000 of them now, and our dealer network to keep their vehicles running 24/7.
bringing customers to our remote service vans almost five thousand of them now
and our dealer network to keep their
vehicles running twenty fourseven
We found that when a retail customer combines a software description with regular service.
we found that when a retail customer combines a software subscription
service, the retention of the customer, especially for parts, is about nine points.
with regular service
the retention
of the customer
points higher. In parts specifically, we grew our U.S. wholesale business to third-party independent records.
especially for parts is about nine points higher
in parts specifically we grew our u s wholesale business
repair shops, and we've expanded a lot in Europe. A broader motorcraft catalog also allows.
to third party independent repair shops and we've expanded a lot in europe
allows us to serve fleet customers of competitive brands and owners of much older Ford V.
a broader motorcraft catalog also allows us to serve
fleet customers
vehicles. And Ford Credit has had a great third quarter, notably to give.
of competitive brands and owners of much older ford vehicles
in ford credit
has had a great third quarter
notably
together with Ford Pro, Credit launched Ford Pro leasing in the third quarter.
together with ford pro credit launched
ford pro leasing
It's a big deal for Pro. Adding commercial leasing to our fleet management, software.
in the third quarter it's a big deal for pro
software, and maintenance offerings will help us grow our pro-digital fleet management portfolio.
adding commercial leasing to our fleet management
software and maintenance offerings
will help us grow our pro digital fleet management portfolio
which we will expect to be over 100,000 units by year-end. Many of those are not.
which we will expect to be over one hundred thousand units by year end
non-ford vehicles. Turning to Ford Energy, the investment thesis is.
many of those are non ford vehicles
turning to ford energy
is very clear. Ford is going to solve a meaningful customer problem. Build on Ford's.
the investment thesis is very clear
ford is going to solve a meaningful customer problem
Ford's advantage and offer a credible path to material earnings. With a tract of research,
build on ford's advantage and offer a credible path
returns in the short term. Our starting point is U.S. manufactured grid-scale battery stores.
to material earnings with attractive returns in the short term
storage for companies building America's new power infrastructure and data centers.
our starting point is u s manufactured grid scale battery storage
for companies building america's new power infrastructure and data centers
These customers need a domestic partner with the manufacturing know-how and scale, and
these customers need a domestic partner
staying power to support them throughout the product's life. We are progressing on two fronts.
with the manufacturing know how and scale
and staying power to support them throughout the product's life
fronts: preparing our manufacturing capacity and securing customers.
we are progressing on two fronts
preparing our manufacturing capacity
and securing customers
battery plant, Kentucky, we have met every single operating milestone so far.
at our battery plant in kentucky we have met every
single operating milestone so far
We have completed trial runs of electrode mixing, the first step in producing prismatic.
we have completed trial runs of electrode mixing
prismatic LFP battery cells. Using the exact same process as our battery plant and work.
the first step in producing prismatic lfp battery cells
Marshall, Michigan. We remain on track to bring 20 gigawatt hours of annual capacity online.
using the exact same process as our battery plant in marshall michigan
by the end of next year. Commercial progress is encouraging, and demand remains.
we remain on track to bring twenty gigawatt hours of annual capacity online
by the end of next year
commercial progress is encouraging
remains very strong. Executed contracts and late-stage negotiations together are ready.
and demand remains very strong
currently account for more than 80% of Ford Energy's 2028 capacity.
executed contracts and late stage negotiations together
already currently account for more than eighty percent
of ford energy's twenty twenty eight capacity
We are building a diverse customer base across solar, grid support, and data centers, and we
we are building a diverse customer base across solar
expect our 2028 capacity to be fully committed by Q1 over the next year.
grid support and data centers and we expect our twenty twenty eight capacity
capacity to be fully committed
by q1 of next year
Pricing singles remain consistent with our investment assumptions. The goat for 29.
pricing signals remain consistent with our investment assumptions
and 30 capacity are already advancing, with customers engaged way ahead of our initial.
negotiation for twenty nine and thirty capacity
initial expectations. The DC block gives us a practical starting point to build a broader
are already advancing with customers engaged
way ahead of our initial expectations
broader capability. We expect attractive returns with short payback period, as I said.
the dc block gives us a practical starting point
to build a broader capability
sharing now is going to take you through our financial performance. Thank you, Jim, and hello.
we expect attractive returns with short payback period as i said
sherry now is going to take you through our financial performance
hello, everyone. Our third quarter results reflect the deliberate actions we're taking to improve profit.
thank you jim and hello everyone
our third quarter results reflect the deliberate
profitability and deliver consistent financial returns. Our increase seemed like the end.
actions we're taking to improve profitability
and deliver consistent financial returns
industrial system, coupled with strong vehicle sales and auto adjacency performance.
our increasingly fit industrial system
coupled with strong vehicle sales
and auto adjacency performance
enabled adjusted e-bic growth of 3%, despite 2% lower revenue.
enable adjusted ebit growth of three percent
despite two percent lower revenue
As we sunset products like Scape and Corsair to transition the Louisville Assembly plant for the all-new.
as we sunset products like escape and coursera
all-new fathom. Sequentially, revenue at $49.5 billion in a
to transition the louisville assembly plant for the all new fathom
sequentially
revenue at forty nine point five billion dollars
adjusted EBIT at 2.7 billion were both higher, despite being impacted by a short term.
and adjusted ebit at two point seven billion
were both higher
short-term supply or disruption late in the quarter, we also generated 4.7 billion.
despite being impacted by a short term supplier disruption
late in the quarter
billion in company adjusted free cash flow and Q3 and end of the quarter with 25.3.
we also generated four point seven billion
in company adjusted free cash flow in q three
25.3 billion in cash and 46.4 billion in total liquidity. Maintaining our commitment.
and ended the quarter with twenty five point three billion dollars in cash
and forty six point four billion dollars in total liquidity
to a strong investment grade rating and to returning capital to shareholders. Today,
maintaining our commitment to a strong investment grade rating
into returning capital to shareholders
we announced a fourth quarter regular dividend of 15 cents per share. This
today
we announced a fourth quarter regular dividend
of fifteen cents per share
strong performance reflects the underlying quality of the sales accomplishments Jim mentioned, is well.
this strong performance reflects the underlying quality of the
sales accomplishments jim mentioned
as well as our progress toward a leaner
more fit industrial system
well as our progress toward a leaner, more fit industrial system. We continue to see.
mixed strength in trucks and three-roll SUVs. Our higher margin, off-road piachi.
we continue to see mixed strength in trucks
and three row suvs
passion products. It counted for about a quarter of our U.S. sales in Q3. Almost four.
our higher margin off road passion products
accounted for about a quarter of our us sales in q three
four points from a year ago. And our customers have been resilient amid higher fuel prices.
up almost four points from a year ago
and our customers have been resilient
amid higher fuel prices
interest rates, and inflation. We also continue to deliver efficiencies of.
interest rates
and inflation
across the business, including the use of AI in our business segments and throughout our operations.
we also continue to deliver efficiencies across the business
including the use of ai
operations. These actions, together with our industrial improvements, have helped.
in our business segments and throughout our operations
these actions together with our industrial improvements
have helped us absorb the vast majority of headwinds
helped us absorb the vast majority of headwinds from the Middle East conflict in rising commodity costs.
from the middle east conflict
costs. It is this discipline and operational rigor that is taking root across.
and rising commodity costs
it is this discipline and operational rigor
across board. In fact, it is directly benefiting our next generation product pipeline where we're
that is taking root across board
in fact it is directly benefiting our next generation product pipeline
making real progress in improving the cost phase across our products. In addition,
where we're making real progress
improving the cost base across our products
addition, the traction and warranty of material cost improvement is strong again this year.
in addition
the traction in warranty and material cost improvement is strong again this year
Both were lower in the quarter and year to date. Keeping us firmly on plan towards reducing.
both were lower in the quarter
and year to date
keeping us firmly on plan
reducing these costs by $1 billion this year, excluding nobels and tariffs.
towards reducing these costs
by one billion dollars this year
excluding novelis and tariffs
And we are leveraging these reductions to fund our investments in a universal ED platform.
and we are leveraging these reductions to fund our investments
and Ford Energy. On New Gelis, operationally, the recovery is.
in the universal ev platform
and ford energy
on novelis
operationally
is largely behind us. Financially, we have incurred about one billion dollars in novellas related.
the recovery is largely behind us
financially
related temporary cost shared at eight, with some more to go into four. And we are still tracking.
we have incurred about one billion dollars in novelis related temporary costs year to date
with some more to go in q four
tracking to a net tailwind of about one billion dollars in twenty twenty-six.
and we are still tracking to a net tailwind of about one billion dollars
in twenty twenty six
now let's turn to our segment results
Now, let's turn to our segment results. In Fort Blue, we delivered 27.
in ford blue
27.1 billion of revenue and 1.4 billion in EBIT down 3% in 10%.
we delivered twenty seven point one billion dollars of revenue
and one point four billion in ebit
respectively. Our performance primarily reflects lower volume driven by.
down three percent and ten percent respectively
our performance primarily reflects
lower volume
by product discontinuations and the impact to the Middle East conflict within the region and higher commodity.
driven by product discontinuations and the impact of the middle east
conflict within the region
commodity costs. Our underlying business continues to benefit from favorable mix. We see
and higher commodity costs
our underlying business continues to benefit from favorable mix
saw significant year-to-date demand in the U.S. for Explorer with the higher margin tremor.
we saw significant year to date demand in the us for explore
Platinum series, increasing sales by nearly 60%. F-Ceres could.
with the higher margin tremor and platinum series
increasing sales by nearly sixty percent
performed well as we executed a discipline go-to-market approach that yielded the highest.
f series performed well
as we executed a disciplined go to market approach
share of revenue and lowest incentive to spend in the third quarter. Blinken also had.
that yielded the highest share of revenue
and lowest incentive spend in the third quarter
an impressive quarter with both Nautilus and Aviator experiencing double-digit sales growth.
lincoln also had an impressive quarter
growth in the US. Our stock bubbles are healthy. We ended the quarter.
with both nautilus and aviator experiencing double digit sales growth
in the u s
our stock levels are healthy
slightly below our target range of 55 to 65 retail days supply.
we ended the quarter slightly below our target range of fifty five
to sixty five retail days supply
increased gross stocks by about six percent versus Q2 2026.
and we increased gross stocks by about six percent
versus q two twenty twenty six
Our F-150 inventory and proof quarter over quarter to 49 retail days supply.
our f one fifty inventory improved quarter over quarter to
forty nine retail days supply
still below our DL range, which provides us with upside. As we work to restock, to
though it's still below our ideal range
which provides us with upside as we work to restock
target levels. Overall, we expect stocks to return within our targeted levels.
to target levels
levels, I yearned. For Model E, we improved EBIT by 25%.
overall we expect stocks to return within our targeted levels
by year end
for model e
25% year over year in the quarter. We reported an EBIT loss of 1.1 billion on revenue.
we improved ebit by twenty five percent year over year in the quarter
we reported an ebit loss of one point one billion
revenue of 1.2 billion. These results reflect our focus on capital efficiency in starting.
on revenue of one point two billion
these results reflect our focus on capital efficiency
structural cost reductions, as we realize the benefits from right-sizing our Gen 1 volumes.
and structural cost reductions
as we realize the benefits from rightsizing our gen one volumes
we continue to invest in our UED platform and port energy. We are on trade.
while we continue to invest in our uev platform
and ford energy
track to improve Gen 1 EBIT by approximately 40% year over year in 2020.
we are on track to improve gen one ebit
by approximately forty percent
2026, is we balance production and pricing with natural demand.
year over year in twenty twenty six
as we balance production and pricing
with natural demand
In fact, in Q3, Mustang Maki had the lowest incentive spend since 2010.
in fact
in q three mustang mach e had the lowest incentive spend
2023. Importantly, we are still targeting break even by 2023.
since twenty twenty three
importantly we are still targeting breakeven
29. Ford Pro delivered another solid quarter, with
by twenty twenty nine
ford pro delivered another solid quarter
17.8 billion of revenue, up 2%. Despite wholesale volumes being down.
with seventeen point eight billion of revenue
up two percent
down 4%, pro-Ebit was 1.7 billion down 16%.
despite wholesale volumes being down
four percent
pro ebit was one point seven billion down sixteen percent
primarily due to higher commodities and temporary costs associated with the Oakville launch.
primarily due to higher commodities
in temporary costs associated with the oakville launch
Lower tariffs and favorable product mix, driven by higher truck production as we were coming.
lower tariffs and favorable product mix
from novellas, partially offset these headwinds. 2027 model your
driven by higher truck production as we recover from novelis
partially offset these headwinds
signals are favorable. As most commercial agreements are complete, with both leek demand and
twenty twenty seven model year signals are favorable
as most commercial agreements are complete
with both fleet demand and pricing
and pricing in line with our expectations. Ford Credit delivered a
in line with our expectations
ford credit
a great quarter with EBT of 803 million, up 172 million.
delivered a great quarter
with ebt of eight zero three million
million. These results reflect favorable performance on our derivatives. Healthy finance.
up one hundred and seventy two million
these results
reflect favorable performance on our derivatives
financing margins in a supported use vehicle pricing environment. Our hike was.
healthy financing margins
and a supportive used vehicle pricing environment
high-quality portfolio of offerings across board credit remains resilient, and we maintain a consistent.
our high quality portfolio of offerings
across board credit remains resilient
consistent, disciplined approach to risk management. Jim talked earlier about.
and we maintain a consistent
disciplined approach to risk management
about the record quarter for software services and parts, I'd like to double-click on that.
jim talked earlier about the record quarter for
software services and parts
i'd like to double click on that
These auto-adjacent businesses were significant drivers of the quarter's strong performance.
these auto adjacent businesses were significant drivers of the
strong performance
contributing approximately 10% of the quarter's revenue. Yes, strong margins.
contributing approximately ten percent
of the quarter's revenue
margins. The largest contributors to software services, revenue growth in the quarter.
at strong margins
the largest contributors to software services revenue growth in the quarter
and year to date. We're blue crews and connectivity. And we continue to see momentum.
and year to date
were bluecruise
in connectivity
momentum in Ford Pro Intelligence. Parts revenue growth this year has been drained.
and we continue to see momentum
in ford pro intelligence
driven by double-digit growth in our U.S. wholesale channel and the expansion of our research.
parts revenue growth this year
has been driven by double digit growth
in our us
wholesale channel
retail and wholesale businesses in Europe. We are also increasing dealer service retail.
and the expansion of our retail
wholesale businesses in europe
retention with digital and uptime tools to drive organic parts growth.
we are also increasing dealer service retention
with digital and uptime tools
to drive organic parts growth
We are excited about the prospects these auto adjacent sees offer for continued accretive.
we are excited about the prospects
these auto adjacencies offer
accretive growth. Now, looking ahead to our full year 2026 outlook.
for continued accretive growth
now looking ahead to our full year twenty twenty six outlook
We are confident in our full year trajectory, in our planned investment cadence.
we are confident
our full year trajectory
our planned investment cadence
and now expect full year adjusted ebit
And now expect full year adjusted EBIT between 10 and a half billion to 11 billion dollars.
between ten and a half billion
dollars. A just in free cash flow and capital expenditures are unchanged. At 6 billion.
to eleven billion dollars
adjusted free cash flow
and capital expenditures are unchanged
billion to seven billion, and nine and a half billion to ten and a half billion, respectively. Our guys.
it's six billion dollars to seven billion
and nine point five billion dollars to ten point five billion dollars respectively
guidance does not include potential impacts of a significant escalation in the Middle East or a material downturn in the.
our guidance does not include potential impacts
of a significant escalation in the middle east or a material downturn in the us economy
the U.S. economy, which, if either or both occurred, could have a substantial impact on industry demand.
which if either or both occurred could have a substantial impact on industry demand
For our full year segment outlook, we expect more blue ebit of about five points.
for our full year segment outlook
we expect
ford blue ebit
5.5 billion. Ford Pro Ebit of about 7 billion. Model E losses.
of about five point five billion
ford pro ebit
of about seven billion
losses remain unchanged at about four billion. And Ford Credit EBT updated.
model e losses remain unchanged at about four billion
and ford credit ebt
updated to about two point eight billion dollars
updated to about $2.8 billion. Our guidance now assumes a unique.
our guidance now assumes
U.S. SAR of 16.5 million units. Commodity headwinds are approaching to
a us sar of sixteen point five million units
two and a half billion dollars year over year. An increase of about 500 million.
commodity headwinds approaching two and a half billion dollars year over year
an increase of about five hundred million
continue to see increasing pressure from input costs. In addition, higher fuel.
as we continue to see increasing pressure from input costs
in addition
prices are impacting our freight and energy costs. But notably, we are not seeing it impact customers.
higher fuel prices are impacting our freight and energy costs
customer demand for trucks and fleet vehicles at this point. We now expect full year.
but notably we are not seeing it impact customer demand
for trucks and fleet vehicles at this point
U.S. industry pricing to be about 100 basis points higher year over year, which is a
we now expect full year us industry pricing
be about a hundred basis points higher
year over year
half point higher than our previous assumption. And lastly, we continue to target one.
which is a half point higher than our previous assumption
and lastly
billion dollars in material and warranty cost reductions, excluding novellas and here.
continue to target one billion dollars
in material and warranty cost reductions
tear-ups. In summary, our ability to increase profits in Q3.
excluding novelis and tariffs
in summary
our ability to increase profits in q three
reflects the actions we have taken
reflects the actions we have taken to optimize our product portfolio and create a business.
to optimize our product portfolio
business that is more efficient and agile in the face of increasing cost pressures.
and create a business that is more efficient
and agile in the face of increasing cost pressures
intensified global competition
intensify global competition, in an uncertain macroeconomic environment. I'll now turn it back over to.
an uncertain macroeconomic environment
to Jim to provide some commentary on 2027. Thank you, Sharon. At this point, we're talking.
i'll now turn it back over to jim to provide some commentary on twenty twenty seven
thank you sherry
targeting profitability next year to be roughly in line with this year. With an even stronger automotive.
at this point we're targeting profitability next year to be roughly in line with this year
automotive business that enables us to invest in our future. Our outlook reflects three things.
with an even stronger automotive business
that enables us to invest in our future
our outlook reflects three things investing in future growth
three things: investing in future growth, substantial external cost pressures.
and continued operating improvements. Next year will be a foundational year.
substantial external cost pressures
and continued operational operating improvements
year on our journey to 8%. When we will have refreshed 70%.
next year will be a foundational year on our journey to eight percent
of our global portfolio of vehicles by volume. We are allocating the majority of that industry.
when we will have refreshed
seventy percent of our global portfolio of vehicles
investment to North America, where we will be expanding our truck and utility lineup.
by volume we are allocating majority of that investment to north america
where we will be expanding our truck and utility lineup
additionally ford pro will be expanding their global lineup
Additionally, Ford Pro will be expanding their global lineup for transit and ranger with all.
all new price points. Additionally, we are investing in our plants.
for transit arranger with all new price points
for our new F-150, which will require planned production downtime next year.
additionally we are investing in our plants
for our new f-one hundred fifty which will require
planned production downtime next year
expect the added super duty capacity at Oakville will largely offset the impact of that down time.
we expect the added super duty capacity at oakville to largely offset
the impact of that downtime
We will also continue to grow our investments in the Universal Electric Vehicle platform ahead of fathers.
we will also continue to grow our investments in the universal electric vehicle
Fathom's launch and bring Fort Energy's 20 gigawatt hours of capacity online. Both of which.
platform ahead of fathom's launch and bring ford energy's
which are key to the model E turnaround by 2029. In order to
twenty gigawatt hours of capacity online both of which are key
to the model e turnaround by twenty twenty nine
adjacencies, we expect continued growth in software services and parts.
in auto adjacencies we expect continued growth
to increase the contribution from reoccurring and counter-cyclical revenues. This secreted.
in software services and parts
to increase the contribution from reoccurring and countercyclical revenues
growth should help offset certain macro headwinds we expect at Ford credit.
this accretive growth
should help offset certain macro headwinds we expect at ford credit
we currently expect commodities
We currently expect commodities, memory, and logistics costs to raise.
memory
represent a year-over-year headwind of about two billion dollars at Ford. Our current plan.
logistics costs to represent a year over year headwind
of about two billion dollars at ford
plan is that the improved reliability and capability of our industrial system. Together, we
our current plan is that the improved reliability and capability
of our industrial system
with revenue optimization and a company-wide efficiency on costs.
together with revenue optimization
will allow us to offset the expected headwinds that I just walked through. We intend to finish this year.
and a company wide efficiency on cost
will allow us to offset
the expected headwinds that i just walked through
we intend to finish this year strong executed twenty seven
this year strong, execute a 27, with great profit bill when he investments, and with this.
with great profitability investments and with discipline
discipline to build towards that target of 8% adjusted to eBay by 29. I'd like to take your questions.
to build towards that target of eight percent adjusted ebit by twenty nine
we'd like to take your questions now
now. You would like to ask a question, please use the red.
rays here in chin, which can be found on the black bar at the bottom of your screen. Leave time for as many questions as
which can be found on the black bar at the bottom of your screen
to leave time for as many questions as possible please limit to one question
as possible. Please limit to one question. Your first question comes from the line of Radio.
your first question comes from the line of rajat gupta
with jpmorgan please unmute and ask your question
Roger Gupta with JP Morgan. Please unmute and ask your question. Great, thanks to Nicole.
great thanks for taking the questions and and appreciate all the color
on twenty twenty seven
questions and appreciate all the color on 2027. Assuming, you know, you know.
i mean assuming you know you know the commodities logistics
you know the memory headwinds you know
the commodities, logistics, the memory headwinds, stay where they are.
you know stay where they are right now you know at the two billion guide
are right now, you know, and the two bullion died. I'm just curious, you know, how much of the 2020?
just curious you know how much of the twenty twenty seven offset
stack you know that you have pointed to
2027 offset stack that you're pointing to is within your controls.
is within your control today you know how much is
today. How much of that do you still need to work on? Just because a lot of the inflation has happened.
much of that you still need to work on just because a lot of the inflation has happened in the last
in the last three, four months. Just curious to get your thoughts on that, and like how comfortable you are with that.
three four months just curious to get your thoughts on that on like how comfortable
you are with that twenty seven guide and what more needs to be done to get there
that 27 guide, and what more needs to be done to get there? And have a quick follow-up. Thanks.
i have a quick follow-up thanks
yeah sure thank you so much for your question
Yeah, sure. Thank you so much for your question. I would say that the areas that we see.
i would say that the areas that we see more in our control would be
the areas of revenue optimization
more in our control would be the areas of revenue optimization. Continued side.
continued software in parts growth
software in parts of the growth, and also continued savings as well.
and also continued savings as well
and i can give you a little bit more
I can give you a little bit more color on that too, if that would be helpful. I mean, on the market.
color on that too if that would be helpful
i mean on the market equation side as you know mix optimization is
market equation side, as you know, mixed optimization is something where we have made huge progress this year.
something where we have made huge progress this year and we
expect that progress to continue into next year we have transformed our sales
and we expect that progress to continue into next year. We have transformed our sales and operating plan.
and operating plan and are now leveraging ai tools
plan, and are now leveraging AI tools that are enabled us to match demand, sensing the capacity plan.
that are enabling us to match demand sensing to capacity planning
and that's leading to more production stability which leads to real savings
planning, and that's leading to more production stability, which leads to real savings. We also have
we also have better inventory and pricing models for both vehicle
better inventory and pricing models for both vehicles and parts, and that's leading to faster.
and parts and that's leading to faster turn rates and leaner stocks
turn rates and leaner stocks. In just an overall disciplined approach in management of our market equation.
in just an overall disciplined approach in management of our market equation
so that is gonna be an area that's in our control we're continuing to get better through
equation. So that is going to be an area that's in our control. We're continuing to get better through tech modernization.
tech modernization
on the structural cost side we're already working plans
On the structural cost side, we're already working plans. We've been at this for six months.
we've been at this for six months already going into
months already going into 2027. And in fact, we're already looking ahead in populating properties.
twenty twenty seven and in fact we're already looking ahead in populating
profit improvement actions for both twenty eight and twenty nine as well
profit improvement actions for both 28 and 29 as well. And then, as I said, we're going to continue.
and then as i said we're gonna continue to see we believe
continue to see we believe increased revenues in both the software.
increased revenues in both the software and the parts
growth area and as i just mentioned in my my comments here a moment ago
the parts growth area. And as I just mentioned in my comments here a moment ago, we've now seen.
we've now seen those combined you know representing ten percent of our revenues
seen those combined, you know, representing 10% of our revenues at accretive growth margins. So this is
at accretive growth margins so this is an area that
is in our control areas that we're focused on and we're
area that is in our control areas that we're focused on, and we're seeing the benefits.
seeing the benefits of that
to stabilize our returns in the face of things like
that. To stabilize our returns in the face of things like commodities in an uncertain manner.
commodities in an uncertain macro environment
i would i would only add that
macro environment. I would only add that our days should.
our day supply on f one fifty and super duty
supply on F-150 and super duty is a major accomplishment.
is a major
accomplishment compared to our competitors it's real we're going into twenty
Accomplishment compared to our competitors. It's real, we're going into 27, as Sherry said in her speech, and a real
seven as sherry said in her speech in a really good situation in our truck business
really good situation in our truck business. I'm good. That's very helpful.
understood that's very helpful color
and then just on uev you know with the deliveries expected next year
helpful color. And then, just on UEV, you know, with the deliveries expected next year.
just curious what remains to be derisked
I'm just curious what remains to be de-risked. Between now and Launch, you know, when it comes to supply risk.
between now and launch you know when it comes to supplier readiness
software validation you know just battery cost
readiness, software validation, you know, just battery costs. You know, how much of the bats do?
you know how much of the path to the modeling breakeven depends
to the modeling break-even defends on UAV, hitting its volume and
on uev hitting its volume and cost targets on schedule
thanks
boss targets on schedule. Next. Hey, this is Kumara.
hey this is kumar let me give you some
color on the status of the launch
it's progressing very well
Let me give you some color on the status of the launch. It's progressing very well.
ninety percent of the validation testing has been completed
90% of the validation testing has been completed. We've built our
we've built our first production line vehicles
on at louisville assembly plant
built our first production line vehicles on at Lugo Assembly plant. So we start.
so we're starting to prove out our production processes
starting to prove out our production processes. One of the new technologies for fair.
one of the key new technologies for fathom is
unicastings
Faraday is unicastings. We've already produced 5,000 of them, so we're proving it.
we've already produced five thousand of them
so we're proving out our capability to run at rate and that's gone really well
out our capability to run at rate, and that's done really well. And to be specific about
and to be specific about your question on what risk remains
to be mitigated it's primarily in the supply base
about your question on what risk remains to be mitigated, it's primarily in the supply base. We need to make sure.
we need to make sure that the supply base can run at great
sure that the supply base can run at rate with high-quality parts. And that's very normal.
with high quality parts and that's very normal at this
this stage of the launch and that's what we're going to be working on for the next few months
normal at this stage of the launch, and that's what we're going to be working on for the next few months.
the other element of the fathom launch is critical is
The other element of the Fathom launch is critical is the revenue picture, which actually seems to be strengthened.
the revenue picture which actually seems to be strengthening andrew do you wanna
strengthening. Andrew, do you want to highlight the change in the US EV market and how that relates to the profitable?
to highlight the change in the u s market
and how that relates to the profitability modeling
profitability modeling. Yeah, I mean, the market, as we've learned over the last couple years, is definitely.
i mean the market as we've learned over the last couple of years is definitely
in the us specifically is not acting as a monolith especially when it comes to the
definitely in the U.S. specifically, not acting as a monolith, especially when it comes to the
affordable evs we've actually seen
affordable EVs, we've actually seen EV prices go up about 10%.
which has priced a lot of new vehicles out of the affordable market. So the customer is very limited.
ev prices go up about ten percent
which has priced a lot of new vehicles out of the affordable market so the customer
is very limited with their new vehicle options in fact a lot of them are looking to the
limited with their new vehicle options. In fact, a lot of them are looking to the used market. So we're now looking at the Evie market.
used market so we're now looking at the ev market as new and used
we're about
market as new and used. We're about over half now of the vehicles sold under 40.
over half now of the vehicles sold under forty thousand are used vehicles
40,000 are used vehicles. That's really important because, as you said, Jim, the fathoms.
that's really important because as you said jim the fathom starting msr
is at twenty eight thousand three hundred fifty dollars that's going to be right in the heart of the market
starting MSRP is at 28,350. That's going to be right in the heart of the market. And it's not just the easy.
and it's not just the ev market it's actually opening us up to the
a massive total addressable market
market, it's actually opening us up to the massive total addressable market. Um, if you
if you know that nearly fifty percent
If you know that nearly 50% of the U.S. new vehicle industry transactions.
of the u s new vehicle industry transacts under forty thousand dollars so
transacts under $40,000. So not only do we expect fathom for the reasons you mentioned earlier to attract new and
not only do we expect fathom for the reasons you mentioned earlier to
attract new and used ev buyers
but also ice
used EV buyers, but also hybrid customers, especially because we're going to have much lower options.
hybrid customers especially because we're going to have much lower operating
costs than even a mainstream hybrid vehicle so
operating costs than even a mainstream pyramid vehicle. So the customer response on what we've shared so far.
the customer response on what we've shared so far has been really strong
we're preparing for the launch and we'll be
far has been really strong. We're preparing to the launch, and we'll be launching our pre-order program.
launching our pre order program
in the first quarter and we'll have more to share with everyone at that time
program in the first quarter, and we'll have more to share with everyone at that time.
as we get closer feeling pretty good about the industrial preparation and the revenue picture
it's impressive to me
industrial preparation and the revenue picture. It's impressive to me to see that.
to see that the used the ev market is
above eight percent of the u s industry now
that the used the EV market is above 8% of the U.S. industry now.
and that's including all the issues
And that's including all the issues that Andrew just highlighted and the lack of affordability.
that andrew just highlighted and the lack of affordability options so
i think we're
you know
options. So I think we're, you know, it's a lot of work to be still to be done.
it's a lot of work to be still be done we have a year to go
i think we're positioned really well
We have a year to go. And I think we're positioned really well, which will be one of the two big drivers.
which will be one of the two big drivers turning around model e
the vehicle side of model e
drivers turning around Model E, the vehicle side of Mahali.
thank you
Thank you. As a reminder, we ask that you limit yourself to one question.
as a reminder we ask that you limit yourself to one question
your next question will come from emmanuel rosner with wolfe research
please unmute and ask your question
Your next question will come from Emmanuel Rosner with Bull of Research. Please unmute and ask your question.
great great thank you so much
Great, great, thank you so much. Maybe just following up here on Model A E.
maybe just following up here on model e so
i know for twenty twenty seven overall for the company's
So I know for 2027 overall for the company's stable results versus 2026.
stable results versus twenty twenty six are you still looking to
Are you still looking to improve Model E within that E bit?
improve model e within that ebit
and maybe what are the moving pieces within that are you planning similar
And maybe what are the moving pieces within that? Are you planning similar or higher investment?
or higher investments into this
uev and bss and then
investment into this UEV and BSS. And then, you know, what are the drivers of
what are the drivers of improvement on the car
improvement on the car side of the business?
side of the business
great
manuel thank you so much for your questions so you just heard about the model e
Great, Manuel, thank you so much for your questions. So, you just heard about the model operational steps that were.
operational steps that we're taking in the milestones there
we're taking in the milestones there. From a financial perspective, as I said in my comments, we're working.
from a financial perspective as i said in my comments we're working towards our target
for model a to reach breakeven by twenty twenty nine
working towards our target model to reach break even by 2029. The progress isn't going to be linear, and we're now.
progress isn't gonna be linear and we're now expecting higher
now expecting higher expenses in 2027 as the plan's coming into focus. So, let me give you a little bit of.
expenses in twenty twenty seven as the plan's coming into focus
of what we're seeing. We think that the next step function change in profitability is going to happen in.
let me give you a little bit of what we're seeing we think that the next
step function change in profitability is gonna happen in the
the first half of 2028. As UEB and Ford Energy both bramp with rather.
first half of twenty twenty eight as uev and ford energy
both ramp with revenue on both so if you break that down a bit
revenue on both. So, if you break that down a bit, you're going to see Fadom launching towards the
you're gonna see fathom launching you know towards the end of the year with the first derivative off the
the end of the year with the first derivative off the platform. Then you're going to have that full year of production.
platform then you're gonna have that full year of production in twenty twenty eight
2028. Then we're going to be escalating the Ford Energy business with investment, full year of.
then we're gonna be escalating the ford energy business with investment
full year production also by twenty twenty eight
production also by 2028. And then, new is the launch of the European partnership products.
products by 2028. So there will be investment in that in 2027.
and then new is the launch of the european partnership products by twenty twenty eight
so there will be investment in that in twenty twenty seven
in the full year of production on those will be
year of production on those will be by 2029. So you're going to have those in.
by twenty twenty nine so you're gonna have those investments that are happening through
investments that are happening through 27 with the unlock really starting to unleash as you get.
twenty seven with the unlock really starting to unleash as you get into
twenty twenty eight and nine
get into 20, 20, 8, and 9.
Your next question comes from Tom Narion with RBC. He's a new.
your next question comes from tom narayan with rbc
please unmute and ask your question
hi yeah thanks for taking the question my question has to do with
ask your question. Hi, yeah, thanks for taking the question. My question has to do with Ford Blue in Europe.
ford blue in europe
you know china has about sixty million vehicles of auto production capacity it's
Europe. You know, China has about 60 million vehicles of auto production capacity.
consuming about twenty million a year in
consuming about 20 million a year and exporting 10 million. A decent portion going to Europe.
exporting ten million a decent portion going to europe
and then this has been worsened by weakening domestic sales in china
Europe and then this has been worsened by weakening domestic sales in China. And then you have a JV with Julian.
and then you have a jv with geely in valencia the
partnerships with renault and vw are these enough to rightsize
and Galencia, the partnerships with Brano and BW. Are these enough to right-size?
your capacity in europe or do you need further
actions from the eu to
your capacity in Europe, or do you need further actions from the EU to hold check?
halt chinese exports
thanks for your question
Chinese exports. Thanks for your question. Europe is quite different.
europe is quite different than
what's happening in southeast asia and latam
different than what's happening, you know, in Southeast Asia and Let Ham for.
for the china competition so i appreciate your questions specific
europe
the China competition. So I appreciate your questions, specific to Europe.
the situation in europe is very different because the eu has
Yeah, and the situation in Europe is very different because the EU has such a strong EU.
such a strong ev mandate
and as you said there's a lot of overcapacity in europe
EU mandate. And as you said, there's a lot of open capacity in Europe, not just to export it from.
not just to export it from china
we do feel like we know we have the right plan
from China. We do feel like we know we have the right plan to write this.
to right the ship
in terms of our passenger car profitability
the ship in terms of our passenger car profitability with Renault. And Geely, as you mentioned.
with renault and geely as you mentioned
those are very low capital investments with
mentioned, those are very low capital investments with really great cost levels.
really great cost levels
especially for the ev portion of our lineup that will allow us
levels, especially for the EV portion of our lineup, that will allow us to replace unprofitable.
to replace unprofitable evs with very
unprofitable EVs with very, with much better profit outlooks on EV.
with much better profit outlooks on ev
the commercial side is also under pressure
commercial side is also under pressure in Europe, and we have a pretty exciting.
in europe and we have a pretty exciting lineup
especially around the ev requirements for the commercial
exciting lineup, especially around the EV requirements for the commercial business.
pro business. There's a lot of negative profit pressure, but we have a
business the pro business there's a lot of negative
really good solution coming next year that we're really excited about. I think the content.
profit pressure but we have a really good solution coming
next year that we're really excited about
i think the combination of both
combination of both will make sense. As far as the capacity utilization that you mentioned, you're specifically.
will make sense as far as the capacity utilization that you mentioned you're
specific question at this point i don't want to get into the details
specific question at this point. I don't want to get into the details other than working through.
the opportunity in Valencia and Romania and Turkey. So, thank you.
other than working through the opportunity of valencia
and romania and turkey so
thank you you know we are completely committed
we are completely committed to building a profitable European business with these actions. We've been.
building a profitable european business with these actions we've been on it for several years
we have a really aggressive plan
on it for several years, and we have a really aggressive plan.
Your next question comes from the line of Joseph Stack with DB.
your next question comes from the line of joseph spak with ubs
please unmute your audio and ask your question
UBS. Please unmute your audio and ask your question. Thanks, Referenc, everyone.
thanks good afternoon everyone
I guess I just want to start with some of your comments around.
i i guess i just wanna start with
of your comments around
the f one fifty and and and not to sort of get
the F150 and not to sort of get, you know, just sort of really buckle down on this.
you know just sort of really buckle down on this you mentioned
You mention that F-150 stock, you expect to recover to target levels by the end of the year. And I want to be clear.
f one fifty stock you expect to recover to target levels
by the end of the year and i wanna be clear on this because
you've talked about stock in terms of days
clear on this because we've talked about stock in terms of days historically, and I think even in your prepared.
historically and i think even in your prepared remarks but
prepared remarks, but you know, seasonally, we always see end of year December is much lower than September. So
you know seasonally we always see end of year december as much lower than september so
when you say recover
just to to to correct levels
when you say we cover this to correct levels, are you talking back?
are are you talking back to that base level because that would mean a pretty significant increase in absolute in
inventory
that days level? Because that would mean a pretty significant increase in absolute inventory.
thanks joe it's andrew
Thanks, Joe. It's Andrew. No, I think when we talk specifically to our
no i think when we talk specifically to our f-one hundred fifty stock
we're running at forty nine days coming out of september that is below our range
F-150 stock, we're running it 49 days coming out of September. That is below our range.
as we look at towards the year end will be running probably on the low end of that
we look at towards the year end, we will be running probably on the low end of that. We'll continue to run on the low end of that.
we'll continue to run on the low end of that
of that. And as Jim mentioned, you know, below our competitive set, we've seen really high days to turn.
and as jim mentioned below our competitive set
we've seen really high days to turn
on our units that we have in stock. In fact, we just came out of the third quarter where we.
on our units that we have in stock in fact we just came out of the
third quarter where we had the fastest turn rates of the year and
they were faster than any of our competitors in the segment and that's really
had the fastest turn rates of the year, and they were faster than any of our competitors in the segment. And that's really helping.
helping us manage our overall market equation, as we mentioned. But we do not expect to see our stocks building.
helping us manage our overall market equation as we mentioned but we do not expect to
see our stocks building to a much higher level at the end of this year
building to a much higher level at the end of this year. Just want to reinforce and be specific.
just want to reinforce and be specific to your question you said dig in
think that's great
you know
your question. You said dig in, I think that's great. You know, for
for me over the many last many years you know
for me over the last many years, you know, a normal stocking level for F-150 could have been aged to 100 days.
a normal stocking level for f-one hundred fifty could have been eighty to one hundred day supply in the past
we're i just wanna reinforce what sherry said
days supply in the past. I just want to reinforce what Sherry said. Our target is that.
our target is that fifty little sixty day supply
50 little 60 days supply. And I think by the end of this year, we're going to be in that.
i think by the end of this year we're gonna be in that range that is
range. That is substantially lower than Ford's operated, and it's really allowed us to build.
substantially lower than ford's operated and it's really allowed us to
build that disciplined full size truck business while we watch our competitors
build that discipline, full-size truck business. While we watch our competitors play a very different game.
play a very different game
and our dealers are very anxious for
game. And our dealers are very anxious to report more stock. Our mix is good.
more stock our mix is good
and our turn rates is really what we're focused on now
good, and our turn rates is really what we're focused on now, as the Andrew said.
as andrew said
So I would say, to answer your question simply, that 55 to 60 day range that
so i would say to answer your question simply
that fifty five to sixty day range that
Sherry talked about is historically much lower than we normally run our truck.
that sherry talked about is historically much lower than we normally
run our truck business
business. Your next question comes to the
your next question comes from the line of james
picariello with bnp
paribas please unmute your audio and ask your question
line of James Picariello with B and Pus, please admit your audio and ask your question.
hi everybody yeah just
Hi, everybody. Yeah, just follow on Joe's question.
on the S series recovery and inventory. Is the 150?
follow on joe's question
on f series recovery and inventory
150,000 units recovery targets still cleanly impacted?
is the one hundred and fifty thousand units
recovery target still
cleanly intact or or is
is that number lower, and there's something else to, you know, favorably.
or is that number lower and there's something else to to you know favorably
offset and keep that that net one billion
and keep that net one billion in the guide intact. Is it better?
the guide intact
is it better price mix or is that volume
target still
price mix, or is that volume target still to God?
still the guide
so so here's how i answer that on the novelis
So here's how you answer that. On the new velocity recovery, it has been going as planned operations.
recovery
it has been going as planned operationally
and we're now running at rate
operationally. And we're now running at rate. And most, the vast majority.
and most the vast majority
of the materials have been validated and we're gonna continue to run it rate in
of the materials have been validated. And we're going to continue to run it right in Q4 is our plan.
four as our plan
you get to the financial side of it we have seen costs coming in a little bit lower
get to the financial side of it, we have seen costs coming in a little bit lower, and the volumes are.
and the volumes have been proportionately a little bit lower too
been proportionally a little bit lower, too. And so that's going to enable us to continue to keep with the guide that we.
and so that's gonna enable us to continue to keep with the guide that we said
we said at the outset of the year, which is one billion dollars of a net tailwind by the
at the outset of the year which is one billion dollars of a net tailwind
by the end of twenty twenty six
as it relates to this
end of 2026, as it relates to this set of problems.
this set of products
products.
your next question comes from andrew
percoco with morgan stanley please unmute your audio and ask your question
Your next question comes from Andrew Percoca with Morgan Stanley, please unmute your audio and ask a question.
great thanks for taking the questions
Great, thanks for taking the questions. So I
so
i guess to start out a two part question here first
guess to start out, a two-part question here. First, I want to ask a follow-up on energy storage.
i want to ask a follow-up on energy storage i think you guys
know, the US provided a great update in your prepared remarks. It sounds like you're 80% contracted.
provided a great update in your prepared remarks it sounds like
you're eighty percent contracted for twenty twenty eight
so i guess that would
contracted for 2028. So I guess that would imply about 16 gigawatt hours.
imply about sixteen gigawatt hours kind of in the backlog
but i think you also said that that included
hours, kind of in the back log. But I think you also said that that included contracted back logs.
contracted backlog as well as late stage negotiations so
backlog as well as late stage negotiations. So I guess, did I get that right? And is there any other
i guess did i get that right and is there any other
information or color you can kind of provide in terms of
other information or color you can kind of provide in terms of what needs to happen to maybe get that full significant.
what needs to happen to maybe get that full sixteen gigawatt hours
16 gigawatt hours, you know, fully contracted versus late stage. Just kind of curious what the final steps are.
fully contracted versus late stage just kind of curious
what the final steps are there and and then my second question
are there. And then my second question, you know, coming back to
coming back to what tom asked about in terms of
of china
what Tom asked about in terms of China, you know, obviously exports are.
obviously exports are continuing to increase pretty substantially
continuing to increase pretty substantially out of the region, the domestic market.
out of the region the the domestic market feels fairly saturated
you just talk to
feels fairly saturated. Can you just talk to how you expect that to impact your business?
how you expect that to impact your business at higher level not just in europe but
business at a higher level, not just in Europe, but just globally. And what you think needs to be done to make
globally and you know what you think needs to be done to make sure that that's not gonna
make sure that that's not going to create a bigger disruption for you guys going forward. Thank you. They were.
create a a bigger disruption for you guys going forward thank you
dave why don't you hear on ford energy yeah so andrew this is dave
carroll
you here not for the energy. Yeah, so Andrew, this is Dave Carroll. First, just to cover your first question.
first just to cover your first question
we're actually not talking about lack backlog today, we were going to start disclosing that next year. And what we
we're actually not talking about backlog today we were going to start disclosing that next year
and what we what jim had indicated in his remarks is that we are actually ahead of expectations where we are with
Jim had indicated in his remarks is that we're actually ahead of expectations where we are with our customers. And we see that primarily.
our customers and we see that primarily
ford energy is very excited about
Ford Energy is very excited about the quality of the product that we have on the market. We believe it's one of the highest quality products out there.
quality of the product that we have on the market we believe it's one of the highest quality products out there in the market that you can buy
the market that you can buy. And we're seeing that from our customers. And we believe that's what's bringing the customers to us.
and we're seeing that from our customers and we believe that's what's bringing the customers to us
as we're moving forward in fact last week we had one of our customers out of our marshall
us as we're moving forward. In fact, last week we had one of our customers at an
manufacturing facility where
they toured where we're producing lfp prismatic cells right now
where they toured, where we're producing LFP prismatic cells right now, and they toured that fact.
and they toured that factory
factory and came out saying it's top tier of all the factors they've seen globally. So, we're very excited.
and came out saying it's top tier of all the factors they've seen globally so
we're very excited that we have the highest quality product in the market and we believe that's what's driving the customers to us
we have the highest quality product in the market, and we believe that's what's driving the customers to us.
Yeah, and I think for back log, that would be something we're probably.
yes and i think for backlog that would be something we're
probably give more transparency on next next year
give more transparency on next year, right? Yes, that's correct. Okay.
right yes that's correct okay
So thanks for your question. And we have a lot to do with Ford Energy, but really promising start.
so thanks for your question and we have a lot to do with ford energy but
really promising start and we're going to open the aperture for all the investors
and we're going to open the aperture for all the investors more and more as time goes on. As far as the Chinese.
more and more as time goes on as far as china is concerned thank you for your question
concerned, thank you for your question. You know, frankly, we've held up really well internationally.
frankly we've held up really well internationally
as the Chinese would gain more and more a share in open and closed markets.
as the chinese gain more and more share
in open and closed markets
we see the competition the most intense is latam and
Where we see the competition the most intense is Latam in Southeast Asia, where we have a large ranger business.
southeast asia where we have a large ranger business
and in both cases ranger is still doing very well
business. And in both cases, Ranger is still doing very well because it competes at a much.
because it competes at a much higher price point
much higher price point. And as I said, we're going to be going into their price point.
and as i said we're going to be going into
their price point next year with this new affordable truck
point next year with this new affordable truck. So we'll see how that plays out, but we're confident.
so we'll see how that plays out but we're confident in addition
In addition, I think Ford is the number one traditional OEM exporting from China. It's been our strategy for
i think ford is the number one traditional oem exporting from china
been our strategy for several years now the
several years now. The Territory is our second most profitable vehicle globally.
territory is our second most profitable vehicle globally
and it is really successful for us
and it is really successful for us. And I think the exports are up, I don't know, like 60.
and i think the exports are up i don't know like sixty percent in
60%. It's a really big improvement. And we expect to continue to take.
it's a really big improvement
and we expect to continue to take advantage of that
for the open markets especially i kind of try to give a view
take advantage of that for the open markets, especially. I kind of try to give a view.
view on Europe so I won't be repetitive. But that's where we, for four, that's where we see the real problem.
on europe so i won't be repetitive but that's where we
for ford that's where we see the the real pressure on our business
pressure on our business with the Chinese. It's really in Europe. It's not just the Chinese, it's the Evie Mandate.
with the chinese it's really in europe it's not just the chinese
it's the ev mandates by the eu which we expect them to address over
mandates by the EU, which we expect them to address over time, as well as the UK. And all the overcapacity.
time as well as the uk
and all the overcapacity in europe
it's been there for many many years
as far as the rest of the world
capacity in Europe. It's been there for many, many years. As far as the rest of the world, I think we're well.
well positioned not only now, but with our new lineup. And our global partnerships will give us a lot of.
i think we're well positioned not only now but with our new lineup
and our global partnerships will give us a lot of opportunity
we have learned so much exporting from china
of opportunity. We have learned so much exporting from China. It's been really a very successful.
it's been really a very successful exercise for ford
with very low capital
successful exercise for Ford with very low capital. And we've learned a lot about China.
and we've learned a lot about china cost
as well as china cost
China cost, as well as China cost in places where it needs to be localized, like Taiwan.
in places where it needs to be localized like thailand
and europe over time
Thailand in Europe over time. So I think we're well positioned. The issue for us.
so i think we're well positioned the issue for us in the
short term is really europe
in the short term is really Europe.
Your next question will come from Jairam Nathan Daiwa, please unmute your audio and ask your question.
your next question will come from jairam nathan with daiwa
please unmute your audio and ask your question
yeah hi thanks for taking my question here
Yeah, hi, thanks for taking my question here. So I just wanted to understand.
so i i just wanted to understand the ability to upsell on the patent
the ability to upsell on the fatum. And the starting point of your 30,000 is crazy.
you know the starting point of you know thirty thousand is is
pretty good but i just wanted to understand how would you what ways you can upskill that
pretty good, but I just wanted to understand how would you, what ways you can upset that.
Do you mean just so we understand the question?
do you mean just so we understand the question
mean how do we get to a point where it's profitable at that price point? Is that what you mean by the offset?
you mean how do we how do we get to a point where where it's
profitable at that price point is that what you mean by the offset
offset. And no, no, no, not offset, upsell, upsell the next.
no no not offset upsell the
you know up sell the vehicle
upsell the current kind of buy often like getting a bit of mix on the
kind of by offering like getting a bit of mix on the vehicle beyond
vehicle beyond that 30,000 on the 30,000. I see, I see what you mean. Okay, thank you. Yeah.
beyond that thirty thousand under thirty thousand i see i see what you mean okay thank you yeah
great question i think we're already pretty deep in
yeah, great question. I think we're already pretty deep in a lot of intelligence, a lot of customers have shown in.
a lot of intelligence a lot of customers have shown interest in the vehicle so we're learning a lot
interest in the vehicle, so we're learning a lot. There's a lot to that strategy at Forward 2.
there's a lot to that strategy at ford to
offer customers a lot of options beyond the $28,000, Android will let you highlight.
to offer customers a lot of options beyond the twenty eight thousand dollars
andrew i'll let you highlight the three or four key points yeah i think what
highlight the three or four key points. Yeah, I think we're one, and we'll get more into this when we do.
one and we'll get more into this when we when we do a full review of the
product you'll you'll learn a lot more about our positioning strategy but
do a full reveal of the product. You'll learn a lot more about our positioning strategy, but the starting price of the 20%.
the starting price of the twenty eight thousand hundred fifty is just that
28,350 is just that. We'll have a range that goes to the high 30,000 range.
we'll have a range that goes to the high thirty thousand range
and we'll have a couple of different offerings within that so
range, and we'll have a couple different offerings within that. So I would say we.
i i would say we will give you a lot more detail around this the the
we will give you a lot more detail around this, the offerings themselves as we get closer.
offerings themselves as we get closer it's probably too soon to
It's probably too soon to share more at this point. The big breakthrough conceptually for us about customer.
to share more at this point the big breakthrough conceptually for us
about customers you know buying nicer
fathoms are really on the digital side
customers buying nicer paths are really on the digital side. We put in an advanced.
we put in an advanced electric architecture in a forty eight volt system
electric architecture or 48 volts system so we can offer at an incredibly low cost.
very advanced ADAS. As well as, you know, digital.
so we can offer at an incredibly low cost
very advanced adas
as well as
digital
camera dashboard. You know, I won't go into all the details Andrew said, but the digital suite.
camera dashboard you know i won't go into all the details andrew said but
the digital suite including the embedded apple maps
including the embedded Apple Maps, is really a game changer for any EP.
is really a game changer for any ev
let alone at this price i think for me personally
alone at this price. I think for me personally, that is going to be the most exciting upsell.
that is going to be the most exciting upsell opportunity it's really
opportunity. It's really the long-term subscription and digital experience.
long term subscription
and digital experience for the customer
experience for the customer. Oh, no.
our next question will come from mark delaney with goldman sachs
please unmute your audio and ask your question
next question will come from Mark Delaney with Golden Sachs, visa meet your audio and ask your question.
yes good afternoon thank you very much for
Yes, good afternoon, and thank you very much for taking my question. I was hoping you could give a bit more color on what Ford is.
taking my question i was hoping you could give a bit more color on what
seeing for pricing. The company took up its view of U.S. industry pricing by a little bit for 2026.
ford is seeing for pricing the company took up its view of u s industry pricing
by a little bit for twenty twenty six maybe you can share a
bit more on what's driving that and then also on this
Maybe you can share a bit more on what's driving that. And then also on this topic more broadly, any early views and pricing for 2066.
topic more broadly any early views on pricing for twenty twenty seven including what you're seeing in
pro with the annual negotiations which i think are now well underway
2027, including what you're seeing in pro with the annual negotiations, which I think are now well underway.
that's a big question thank you for asking
That's a big question. They never asked me. So I
Adrian and Lisha, I think you should bring up. Yeah, maybe I'll start with the retail side banks.
so andrew and alicia i think you should bring up too yeah maybe i'll i'll
start with the retail side thanks mark yeah we're seeing a very strong
pricing environment right now
Mark. Yeah, we're seeing a very strong pricing environment right now. We expect pricing to be up about a percentage.
we expect pricing to be up about one percentage point
this year and
as we looked into next year
percentage point this year. And, you know, as we looked into next year, we think.
we think there's a lot of different levers that we'll be able to work with with our product mix and
there's a lot of different levers that we'll be able to work with with our product mix and net pricing, both the top line, but
and net pricing both the top line but also
but also our variable marketing as well. Just very similar to how we approach this year.
variable marketing as well just very similar to how we approach this year
the industry remains really strong
industry remains really strong. We're seeing the segmentation remain strong. Very, really big Brazilian.
we're seeing the segmentation remain strong very really big resilience with
customer base especially in trucks and utilities
resilience with customer base, especially in trucks and utilities, which is really playing to our advanced.
which is really playing to our advantage and we expect that
continue into next year and alicia do you want to comment on the what you're seeing in the
advantage, and we expect that to continue in the next year. And Alicia, do you want to comment on what you're seeing in the early part of
early part of commercial side yes can just also on pricing for fleet we're also seeing
of the commercial side. Yeah, I can just also empic. We're also seeing strong pricing year over year.
strong pricing year over year over one percent
over 1%. But as Sherry mentioned, our fleet demand orders for 27 model year.
but as sherry mentioned our fleet demand orders for twenty seven model year
are on target we're excited about
are on target. We're excited about Oakville and that capacity because that's going to allow.
oakville and that capacity because that's going to allow us to really grow
allow us to really grow our truck rental sales. We can return to our pre-pandemic levels where the economic.
our truck rental sales we can return to our pre pandemic levels where the economics are really
favorable for us
economics are really favorable for us. We are also able to take a larger share of wallet for our large commercial.
we are also able to take a larger share of wallet for our large commercial customers
commercial customers. And then we were able to supply more chassis cap units to the body modifiers. And we are very
and then we were able to supply more chassis cab
to the body modifiers and we are very competitive
that space and we have been constrained
very competitive in that space, and we have been constrained. So, we're excited about the ability to really.
so we're excited about the ability to really meet this unmet
demand and the strong order take that we're seeing so far
meet this unmet demand and the strong order take that we're seeing so far. Gives us competition.
gives us confidence that we'll continue to grow there
confidence that we'll continue to grow there. The upside for next year for Pro is pretty meaningful. Between
the upside for next year for pro is pretty meaningful
OPIL and getting past nobellas, it's really a great opportunity for us at Ford.
between oakville and getting past novelis yes
it's really a great opportunity for us at ford
Your next question comes from the line of John saying.
your next question comes from the line of john sager with evercore isi
please unmute your audio and ask your question
Sager with Evercore ISI. Please unmute your audio and ask your question.
Dawn your line is open, please unmute and ask your question.
john your line is open please unmute and ask your question
hey thanks sorry about that
Hey, thanks, sorry about that. Yeah, I just wanted to take one more shot at BESS. You had mentioned.
yeah i just wanted to take one more shot at ess you you had mentioned
you know the discussions for twenty nine and thirty advancing
kind of ahead of your prior expectations
you know, the discussions for 29 and 30, advancing kind of ahead of your prior expectations. We're using
do you need to see in terms of commit commitment capacity to
you need to see in terms of commitment capacity to start to think about expanding?
start to think about expanding beyond that first twenty gigawatt hours
beyond that first 20 gigawatt hours. And then, what does incremental cap exist?
and then what does incremental
capex look like
bags look like for that. And then maybe if I get asked to follow up on just the inner.
for that and then maybe if i could ask a follow-up
on just the the impact to earnings
impact to earnings as we go through the course of the year, as you go through the ramp to get towards the
as we go through the course of the year as you go through the ramp
to get towards the the fourth quarter of twenty gigawatt hours of capacity could you just
give us some puts and takes there
fourth quarter of 20 gigawatt hours of capacity. Could you just maybe give us some puts and takes there?
yes so john so
Yes, John. So obviously, the team is really focused. This is Dave, the team is really focused on law.
obviously the team is really this is dave the team is really focused on launching the initial twenty gigawatt hours
we have to to bring online and ramp up in twenty twenty eight
launching the initial 20 gigawatt hours that we have to bring online and ramp up in 2028. That being said,
that being said
we are already evaluating scenarios how we could best expand
said, we are already evaluating scenarios how we could best expand capacity, expand our offerings to our customers.
capacity expand our offerings to our customers because we do see the real demand out there
when we're doing so we do consider the returns on our investment
because we do see the real demand out there. But when we're doing so, we do consider the returns on our investment, consider the customer demand.
consider the customer demand
the tax treatment and other strategic uses of capital
the tax fremont, and other strategic uses of capital. So we do see upside at our consequences.
so we do see upside
our kentucky one facility
excited for the potential growth but we don't have anything to announce today in that regards
Contechu 1 facility. We're excited for the potential of growth, but we don't have anything to announce today in that regard.
sure any tips you wanna give on the spending for for
for an energy next year
really need does she want to give all the spending for an energy next year.
The only thing I would give is that we had talked about around $2 billion.
the the only thing i would give is that we had talked about
around two billion dollars of investment and we're going to spend about a third of that this
dollars of investment, and we're going to spend about a third of that this year, and about two-thirds next year.
year and about two thirds next year
that gives you a little bit more understanding
gives you a little bit more understanding.
Your next question comes to the line of Dan Letty with Barclays. They submit your audio and ask your question.
your next question comes from the line of dan levy with barclays please unmute your audio and ask your
question
I goody lame, thank you for taking the
hi good evening thank you for
taking the the questions wanted to ask
the questions. I wanted to ask about the partnership with Geely.
about the partnership with geely
I believe part of the partnership is to establish learnings from them.
i believe part of the partnership is to
establish learnings from them
maybe you could just be a bit more concrete you know what you hope to learn within
maybe you could just be a bit more concrete, you know, what you hope to learn within supply base.
supply base and designing the vehicle and then i'll just extend that question to
and designing the vehicle. And I'll just extend that question to how you plan to achieve profit.
how you plan to achieve profitability
profitability on Thalada, which I think you've talked about, sort of indexing or benchmarking against the child?
on fathom which i which i think you've talked about sort of index
ing or benchmarking against the chinese
know some of the supply chain
Chinese, you know, some of the supply chain opportunities there. So maybe you can talk about what you're doing.
opportunities there so maybe you can talk about you know what you're doing with geely
doing with Jealy and maybe how some of that potentially extends to how you're going to achieve the right cost that.
and maybe how some of that potentially extends to how you're gonna achieve
the right cost that you need
you need to fall off? So let me break it down into
so let me break it down into
two pieces
two pieces: um, its cost and its quality.
it's cost and it's quality
We are already learning that they can.
we are already learning
that
they can
offer
excuse me
a certain percentage
offer a certain percentage, lower cost.
lower cost
landed in europe for us so we're going through
landed in Europe for us. So we're going through part by part understanding each system.
part by part
understanding each system
and
speed
Speed, we're learning there are a few.
we're learning there a few months faster than this
and we're going through
few months faster than. And we're going through each part of the product.
each
part of the product development system
to understand how they are faster than us
development system to understand how they are faster than us. And it comes.
and a combination of both of those items
combination of both of those items is being institutionalized into our own.
is being institutionalized
into our own global product development system
own global product development system.
on the ued
On the UED, you know, we always set our target even for you.
you know we we always set our target even four years ago
with imagining what a byd could do in mexico
years ago with imagining what a BYD could do in Mexico. Now, because we knew.
not because we counter on that happen, but because we knew that ultimately, if that platform is going to be competitive.
because we knew not because we count on that happen but because we knew that ultimately that
platform is gonna be competitive we had to make sure
competitive. We had to make sure, even in the US, it would be fully competitive. So that's why we took such a
even in the u s would be fully competitive so that's why we took
big swing at the innovation because we had to. The big breakthroughs.
such a big swing at the innovation because we had to
you know, in general on the cost for that product is really.
the big breakthroughs you know in general on the cost for
for that product is is really
a couple of things in general the first is
a couple of things in general. The first is the
the e box and the whole electronic
e-box and the whole electronics and electrical architecture in ADAS is much, much slower.
in electric architecture and adas is much much lower cost than
lower cost than supply chain. We could do that all in-house, and the big benefit.
supply chain we did that all in house
and the big benefit would be the cost and the design cost of that
benefit would be the cost and the design cost of that. Number two is we rapidly.
number two
is we radically resimplified the parts
radically simplify the parts. So the two large unit castings that Kumar talked.
so the two large unit castings that kumar talked about derisking
talked about, de-risking the 5,000 we've already built. That is a radical enabler.
the five thousand we've already built that is a radical enabler
enabler for much lower part count in the VFL. And then, obviously, the labor content is.
for much lower part count in the vehicle
and then obviously the labor content is much lower
is much lower in the vehicle by intention. But there's another area that we really found.
in the vehicle by intention but there's another area that we really found
found to be quite advantage relative to you know BYD, and that is the efficiency of our motor.
to be quite advantage relative to you know a byd
and that is the efficiency of our motors gearbox and inverters
motors, gearbox, and inverters, which are about 30% more efficient than theirs and allows us to design.
which are about thirty percent more efficient than theirs and allows us to design a battery
that's much less and so that i think that's
design a battery that's much less. And so, that I think God's really critical.
critical. The LFP cell in Marshall is another big enabler, and I think you get the points.
really critical the lfp cell in march
is another big enabler
and i think you get the point which is like
every part of this project
had to be world class
point, which is like every part of this project had to be world class, Chinese.
chinese cost efficiency in order to convince ourselves we would be fully
Chinese cost efficiency thing in order to convince ourselves we would be fully competitive. But it also
competitive
also introduced a lot of new technology and, frankly, a lot of new suppliers.
but it also introduced a lot of new technology and frankly a lot of new
suppliers
and so what we learned from uev
And so, what we learned from UEB and what we're learning from GLI, and what will.
and what we're learning from geely and what we wanna keep strategically in the company
are all
want to keep strategically in the company. We're all getting captured at the same time.
getting
captured at the same moment for kumar
moment for Kumar, and his team is now curating how that all is going to work.
and his team is now curating
how that all is gonna work along with our ai tools that sherry mentioned
work along with our AI tools that Sherry mentioned. And that's why we mentioned the heart and soul of our.
and that's why we mentioned the heart and soul of our company is gonna be this new industrial system
going system enabled by all that benchmarking
company is going to be this new industrial system enabled by all that benchmarking, including supposed.
including suppliers manufacturing efficiency
suppliers, manufacturing efficiency, all the way to how fast we create the vehicle.
all the way to how fast we create the vehicle
that's exciting for us
That's exciting for us because it's quite.
because it's quite
it's quite a big change for ford
a big change for Ford. A real concrete example is the motors and the patients who.
yeah a real concrete example is the
motors and the patient's physician that you mentioned jim
that you mentioned, Jim, are being now being transported into our hypertension.
are being now being transported into our
hybrid systems for the rest of the week for the rest of our
portfolio
hybrid systems for the rest of the ecosystem, for the rest of our portfolio. We're putting a lot.
and we're putting a lot of pressure on ourselves
to make sure that whether it's uev
lot of pressure on ourselves to make sure that whether it's UED or GLE or JMC.
or geely or jmc
we or ai tools
JMC. We, or AI tools, we are going to move that into the corporate.
we are going to move that into the core part of the company
as fast as we can
part of the company as fast as we can.
this concludes the ford motor company third
quarter twenty twenty six earnings conference call
This includes the Ford Motor Company third quarter 2026 earnings conference call.
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you for your participation, you may now disconnect.
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